Summary:
Most recent discussions of terrorism have focused on the identity of the terrorists, their possible motivations, and the increasingly destructive potential of the weapons at their disposal. However, to date, there has been very little discussion about their choice of targets.
An examination of environmental terrorism
requires understanding motivations, identifying vulnerabilities and risks, and working on effective solutions.
At a time when populations all over the world are increasing, the existing resource base (water, energy, soils, and more) is being stretched to provide for more people, and is being consumed at a faster rate. As the value and vulnerability of these resources increases, so does their attractiveness as terrorist targets.
The report examines
the nature and risks of terrorist attacks that use the environment both as a target and a tool. Finally, several ideas for reducing the risk of environmental terrorism are discussed.
Terrorists
often choose their targets because of what they represent, thus skyscrapers and federal buildings. Rivaling both of those, however, for the amount of long-term damage that can be inflicted upon a country, environmental resources should be included as being at risk.
Environmental terrorism is defined ,as.....
in the report as "the unlawful use of force against in situ environmental resources so as to deprive populations of their benefit(s) and/or destroy other property". Readers should take care not to confuse the term with "eco-terrorism".
At first glance,
the distinction between environmental terrorism and eco-terrorism might seem academic. However, operationally there is a significant difference.
Environmental terrorism involves targeting natural resources. Eco-terrorism involves targeting built environment such as roads, buildings and trucks, ostensibly in defense of natural resources.
A second distinction is made between environmental terrorism and more conventional environmental warfare.
It is a distinction that mirrors the larger difference between terrorism and warfare in general.
The easy distinction, that warfare is conducted by states and terrorism by rebel groups, obscures the uncomfortable fact that unlawful acts against non-combatants are often carried out by states. Rather, warfare is governed by two complementary criteria: jus ad bellum (war must be declared for a good reason) and jus in bello (war must be conducted in a just fashion).
Because there is no universally accepted judgment as to what constitutes rightness of cause, applying the first criterion (jus ad bellum) to terrorism is problematic.
Terrorism
however clearly violates the jus in bello criterion, since targeting non-combatants lies at the very core of its strategy. That the target is environmental and not human does not blur the distinction between warfare and terrorism.
The objective of environmental terrorism, however,
is to have a psychological effect on the target population, and just as terrorists do not apply the jus in bello criterion to human non-combatants, neither do they apply it to the environment.
Risk of Environmental Terrorism:
There are two components to measuring the risk of terrorism:
severity of the attack, and the probability of a particular scenario actually occurring.
This is where the approximately $7 billion 16 spent to analyze WMD [weapons of mass destruction, such as nuclear bombs] attacks may be misspent: scenarios such as detonation of a nuclear device or deployment of a biological weapon in a populated area, while frightening, fall into the high-consequence/low-probability category.
As risky are the common,
low-consequence/high-probability scenarios such as bombings or kidnapping (low-consequence only in that the number of people directly affected is relatively small compared to a large-scale WMD incident).
Environmental terrorism has the potential to combine the worst of both of these scenarios: it can have higher consequences than conventional civil terrorism because the potential damage from an environmental attack can be long-lasting and widespread, and it is more likely than WMD terrorism because it can be carried out using conventional explosives or poisons.
WMDs.......
are still extremely difficult to obtain and deploy successfully, and are consequently out of range for most amateur terrorist individuals or groups. As a result, terrorists may increase their destructive potential by directing conventional methods against environmental targets, where they are likely to cause more human health and economic damage with less risk to themselves.
The report considers two further types of environmental terrorism: resource-as-tool terrorism and resource-as-target terrorism.
For example, terrorists wishing to inflict damage using resource-as-tool terrorism on a town below a reservoir might poison the water supply.
Using the same example, terrorists wishing to employ resource-as-target terrorism might blow up the dam and flood the town.
Vulnerable resources identified and discussed more fully in the report are:
water resource sites, agriculture and forest sites, mineral and petroleum sites, plus wildlife and ecosystem sites.
Finally,
the most reliable way identified in the report for a nation to protect itself against the disruption caused by environmental terrorism is to diversify resource use wherever possible.
Multiple sources of food, water, and energy mean each individual source is less attractive as a target, and equitable distribution of resources between users contributes to reducing tension over resource scarcity. This may lessen the political motivation of terrorists who take action on behalf of the “oppressed.”